Free NBA Betting Predictions March 05
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BKN Nets +3.0BKN Nets @ BOS Celtics The surging Boston Celtics host the Brooklyn Nets at TD Garden. The Celtics have won four of their five games since the All-Star break with the help of a defense that is the 3rd best in the NBA, allowing just 103.8 points per game. Their average margin of victory is over 13 points per game in that span. Brooklyn has lost four of their last five and have been without the services of Kyrie Irving in all four losses. Both teams are .500 against the spread versus division opponents on the season while the Nets have been the worst cover team in the league this season – the only scenario where they are covering at 60% is as a road underdog, where they are 9-6. The Celtics, meanwhile, are 13-17 against the spread as a home favorite.Nine days ago, Boston won and covered in Brooklyn as a nine-point favorite. Irving has a profound effect on Brooklyn’s offense. He scored a season-high 38 points in Milwaukee as the Nets beat the Bucks last weekend, scoring 126 in the only game Irving has played since the All-Star break. The new Nets line-up will get its first run with both Irving and Kevin Durant, who returned from injury last time out and had a 31-point night in a loss to Miami. That’s a big part of the reason this number is so short. I’ll back the Nets in what feels like a string of must-win games on a short, three-game road trip that ends in Philadelphia. Nets +3.
MIL Bucks -9PHX Suns @ MIL Bucks The Suns head to Milwaukee to face the Bucks after winning on a buzzer beater over the Knicks on Friday night. This was an impressive win considering the Suns were without Chris Paul and Devin Booker, and they’ll once again be without those two players along with Cam Johnson in this game against Milwaukee. Although the Suns were able to top the Knicks and the Trail Blazers with these significant injuries, it won’t be as easy against the reigning champions on their home floor.
The injury report is perhaps the most important aspect when analyzing this game. The Suns will be without three of their top five scorers in this game, and that is going to be an extremely challenging obstacle to overcome facing the Bucks. In fact, the Suns barely won against New York on a last second buzzer beater from Cam Johnson who poured in 38 points for the entire game, however, the fact that he’s joining Paul and Booker on the sidelines completely diminishes the Suns hope in this game. The Bucks may not be overwhelming defensively, but they should be able to outscore the Suns by a wide margin. The Bucks rank fifth in points per game and top ten in offensive rating, so scoring the basketball is not an issue for this team led by Giannis Antetokounmpo. It’s very hard to see a depleted Suns roster travel across the country and outscore a healthy and dangerous Bucks team on their home floor, so take the Bucks to cover the spread.
WAS Wizards Win -3.0IND Pacers @ WAS Wizards
The last 4 Indiana Pacers games have been a real rollercoaster. First they beat the Boston Celtics 128-107 as 9.5-point underdogs, then they lose at Orlando by 16 points. In the following game, they beat the Magic by 8 after OT only to lose to the Detroit Pistons by 5 as 2.5-point favorites. This team is very unpredictable at the moment, they’ve beaten the Washington Wizards twice in 3 meetings this season, but with the way they are playing right now that might not matter tonight.
Washington has been largely disappointing this season but, at 2.5 games behind Atlanta for the 10th seed in the East, there’s still hope of reaching the play-in tournament. They had a chance to close the gap on Thursday but the Hawks beat them 117-114. Still, this team won’t go away that easily. Reinforcements are coming in the form of Kristaps Porzingis who will make his debut having missed the entire month of February through injury. Washington is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs Eastern Conference opponents.
This is one of those coin-flip games, but with something to play for I’m going with the home side here. They are 16-17 SU at home which isn’t great, but it’s still better than Indiana’s 7-25 SU road record. Wizards to cover.
MEM Grizzlies Win -11.0MEM Grizzlies @ HOU Rockets Fresh off their 124-96 blowout win over Orlando, the Memphis Grizzlies are back on the road to take on one of the worst teams in the NBA in the Houston Rockets. The Grizzlies already lead the regular season series 2-0 having covered the spread in 12 of 16 games and beaten 14 of 18 Western Conference opponents and they enter tonight’s game in a really good spot. Dillon Brooks aside, the team is at full strength, with a win tonight they can solidify the 2nd seed in the West after last night’s Golden State loss to the Lakers. This team is young and hungry and will take this game seriously.
The Rockets find themselves bottom of the West and look primed to finish the season there as 14th-placed Oklahoma City is 5 games ahead. They’ve dropped 12 games in a row and have lost by an average of 15 points during that winless stretch. They’re just coming off a tough 116-101 road loss at Denver and in tonight’s game they could be without the services of point-guard Dennis Schroder who is questionable with an ankle injury. The Rockets have covered the spread just 4 times in 16 games and in just 3 of their last 13 vs Western Conference teams.Getting the 2nd seed will benefit Ja Morant’s MVP case. I’m sure his team is aware of this and they should put in the effort to cover the spread here. The Grizzlies won the last 2 meetings by 34 and 7 points, I’m confident they can win tonight by at least 12 points. Back the road team here.
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NBA Under Over Picks
Over 227.5BKN Nets @ BOS Celtics
Under 231.5PHX Suns @ MIL Bucks