Free NBA Betting Predictions March 21
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Over the last 10 games the Miami Heat have had issues offensively. They are ranked just 21st in offensive rating during that time and could have issues scoring against a strong 76ers defence. On the season the hosts are 10th in defensive rating and should be able to keep the Heat in check here. The 76ers will have an advantage in the backcourt here with James Harden and Tyrese Maxey presenting as tough matchups for the visitors. Kyle Lowry is 35-years old and stopping the likes of Maxey in transition could be an issue for him. With Butler not at 100 percent, look for the 76ers to take advantage and grab the home win.
CHA Hornets -6.0NO Pelicans @ CHA Hornets The Charlotte Hornets (36-35) will host the New Orleans Pelicans (30-41) following their 129-108 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday night. The Hornets enter tonight’s game on a 4-game win streak and have won 6 of their last 10 games, bumping them to the 9th seed in the Eastern Conference standings. Terry Rozier has led the team in scoring in 5 of their last 10 games and is averaging 24.3 points, 5.0 assists, and 4.8 rebounds on 51.2% shooting from the field and 47.7% shooting from three in that span. Charlotte currently ranks within the top-10 teams in offensive efficiency but within the bottom-10 teams in defensive efficiency.
The visiting Pelicans are coming off a 117-112 road win over the Atlanta Hawks last night. The Pelicans, who currently sit at the 9th seed in the Western Conference standings, enter tonight’s game on a 2-game win streak and have won 5 of their last 10 games. With Brandon Ingram, Larry Nance Jr., and Devonte Graham recently sidelined with injuries, Jonas Valanciunas has stepped up significantly in their last 4 games, leading the team in rebounds in all 4 games, as well as in scoring in 2, while averaging 22.8 points, 11.5 rebounds, and 3.0 assists on 62.7% shooting from the field and 40% shooting from three in that span. New Orleans currently ranks within the bottom-10 teams in offensive efficiency and in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. In their lone meeting of the season, the Hornets defeated the Pelicans 142-120 on the road. Despite a career-high 32 points from Trey Murphy III, the Pelicans were unable to keep up with the Hornets on the offensive end as the Hornets shot 59.8% from the field and 46.8% from three which would be their highest field goal percentage and their 9th-highest three-point percentage in a game this season. Take the Hornets to dominate in similar, and cover tonight’s spread at home.
DET Pistons -7.5POR Trail Blazers @ DET Pistons The Portland Trail Blazers have now lost 4 straight games and 9 of their last 10 overall. Tonight, they will be on the second night of a back-to-back after losing 129-98 to the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. They will be up against a Detroit Pistons team that dropped their last game against the Cleveland Cavaliers but have won 4 of their last 10. Injury-wise they are also in a much better position than the Trail Blazers. The visitors tonight will be without a number of key players including Anfernee Simons, Jusuf Nurkic and Eric Bledsoe. The hosts do not have a clean injury slate either, with Jerami Grant, Killian Hayes and Frank Jackson unavailable. However, with Cade Cunningham playing, they should be in the stronger position.
The Trail Blazers will be relying on Josh Hart to be the catalyst for their offense but he should have a tough matchup against Saddiq Bey. The Pistons forward is a physical defender and should be able to make Hart work on the other end too, having recently dropped a 51-point game against the Orlando Magic. The visitors tonight are bottom of the NBA in net offensive and defensive rating over the last 10 games. The Pistons, on the other hand, are a respectable 16th. They are ranked 12th in defensive rating during that time and should be able to slow down the Trail Blazers. The visitors have failed to reach the 100-point mark in 6 of their last 10 games and with the way the Pistons have defended, something similar could happen. If it does, the hosts should be able to cover.
UTA Jazz WinUTA Jazz @ BKN Nets Fresh off their 15-point win at Madison Square Garden last night, the Utah Jazz head to Brooklyn to take on the Nets, who they beat by 23 points earlier this season. They are most likely getting back both Bojan Bogdanovic and Mike Conley from injury, so I really like their chances on the road tonight. They’ve beaten the Nets in 8 of the teams’ last 10 meetings, including 6 of the last 7. They’ve also done well when it comes to covering the spread, doing so in 5 of their last 7 games at Barclays Center.
The Nets will also have someone they didn’t have in that game earlier this season in Salt Lake City — Kevin Durant. Brooklyn has gone 5-1 SU in its last 6 games, but didn’t beat the Portland Blazers as easily as people expected. It finished just 128-123 and the Nets once again failed to cover at home as 14-point favorites. They are now just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 at Barclays Center. Against Western Conference opponents they’ve won just 2 of 11 games. Despite all those poor numbers, the Nets enter as favorites and I’m not sure I agree with that. Utah has been far more consistent all season, and on paper the Jazz have a more balanced team with Rudy Gobert on the inside and Donovan Mitchell and Bojan Bogdanovic on the perimeter. Back the road team to win.
OKC Thunder +13.5BOS Celtics @ OKC Thunder The Boston Celtics continue their road trip against the Western Conference with a stop in Oklahoma City to face the Thunder. Boston is still fighting for positioning in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Celtics have won 8 of their last 10 games and are 20-5 straight up over their last 25. The Thunder have lost 9 in a row and 13 of their last 16. Still, Oklahoma City is one of the best cover teams in the NBA this season, getting bettors to the window more than 62% of the time. Despite their recent losing streak, they have covered in 4 of their last 5 games.
Boston comes in laying a heavy number and the Celtics have actually been better against the number on the road this season, going 20-14-1. However, they are just 3-5 ATS when being favored by double digits this season. The Thunder have gone 16-8-2 against the spread against Eastern Conference opponents. Despite having one of the worst statistical offenses in the league, the Thunder have been better as of late. Take the points in a game that the Celtics should win but may not cover.
TOR Raptors +4.5TOR Raptors @ CHI Bulls Despite being down by as many as 16 points, the Toronto Raptors came back to beat the Philadelphia 76ers 93-88 last night in one of their best performances on the defensive side of the floor all season. They held Joel Embiid and James Harden to just 11 for 32 shooting, frustrating them all night. As a team, the Raptors shot just 37% from the field, but that didn’t matter as they held Philadelphia to 51 points in the last 36 minutes of play. If they can pull off a similar effort tonight, they’ll be in a good position against Chicago as well.
The Bulls have been a big disappointment over the past month or so, winning just 2 of their last 10 games. For some reason they have struggled against the big teams this season, going 0-15 SU when playing the top 3 seeds from each conference, which isn’t encouraging with the playoffs just around the corner. What is encouraging, though, is the fact that they are slowly getting their injured players back. Alex Caruso is finally with the team, Patrick Williams could make an appearance and Lonzo Ball is also close to coming back. I’m not sure how I feel about their chances tonight, though, as they’ve covered the spread just twice in their last 11 games. Toronto should get Fred VanVleet back, and the Raptors have been in really good form, covering in their last 6 games on the road, so they have a pretty solid chance. They beat the Bulls by 7 points in the last meeting, so take them with the extra points tonight.
HOU Rockets +5.0WAS Wizards @ HOU Rockets On Monday, the Washington Wizards will travel to the Toyota Center to battle the Houston Rockets. Entering play, both teams are realistically eliminated from postseason contention. Washington is 4.5 games behind the Atlanta Hawks for the final play-in position in the Eastern Conference with only 12 games remaining on their regular-season schedule. Houston owns the worst record in the NBA and has been mathematically eliminated from the play-in tournament in the Western Conference.
Washington will once again be without Bradley Beal this evening, who was ruled out for the season with a left wrist injury. Kyle Kuzma is also listed as questionable ahead of tip-off. Since the all-star break, the Wizards rank 23rd in Net Rating, having been outscored by 4.9 points per 100 possessions. The Wizards are 3-9 overall since the break, including 6 consecutive defeats when playing away from home. The Rockets have not released an official injury report since a loss to the Memphis Grizzlies yesterday. Across their last 13 games, the Rockets have only 2 wins and have been outscored by 8.8 points per 100 possessions. Houston has been slightly better at home during that stretch, posting a -5.5 Net Rating. In this matchup between some of the worst teams in basketball, it makes sense to target the team with home-court advantage and getting points on the spread. There are unquestionably more exciting games to wager on in the NBA this evening, but if placing a wager, the Rockets are the team that bettors should trust.
MIN Timberwolves +3.5MIN Timberwolves @ DAL Mavericks It’s offense versus defense in a Western Conference showdown that could have playoff seeding implications as the Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Dallas to face the Mavericks. The Timberwolves are the NBA’s highest-scoring offense at 115.5 points per game, while the Mavericks are the NBA’s 2nd-best scoring defense behind the Celtics, allowing just 104 points per game. Minnesota was won and covered in 4 straight games, including a dismantling of the Milwaukee Bucks last time out. Dallas has lost 2 games in a row to close out their 5-game road trip.
Minnesota has the hot hand and is 8-1-1 against the spread in their last 10 games while averaging just under 130 points per game and shooting nearly 50% from the field. Dallas, over the last 10 games, has allowed opponents to score 108 points per game. With Karl-Anthony Towns and Luka Doncic on display, don’t expect this to be a low-scoring affair and the total set at 230 for one of the NBA’s best defenses tells you that as well. The Timberwolves getting points feels like a gift.
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NBA Under Over Picks
Over 227.0LA Lakers @ CLE Cavaliers
Over 233.5NO Pelicans @ CHA Hornets
Under 230.0UTA Jazz @ BKN Nets