Free NBA Betting Predictions March 27
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DET Pistons +5.0NY Knicks @ DET Pistons
The New York Knicks are clinging to playoff life as they travel to Detroit to face the Pistons. New York trails the Atlanta Hawks by 5 games for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference and needs a win to stay in playoff contention. The Knicks may have to do it without Julius Randle, who did not play on against the Miami Heat on Friday and is questionable for this game. New York also didn’t have Nerlens Noel against the Heat, and his status is uncertain for this one. Detroit will be without the services of Jerami Grant.
It’s hard to back the Knicks as a road favorite, especially against a team that has been so good against the spread this season. The Pistons are 18-12-1 ATS as a home underdog. The Knicks have the greater motivation as they need a win, but this also looks like a little bit of a letdown spot for them after their surprising win in Miami on Friday without their best player. The Knicks are just 17-17 as a favorite this season. Detroit should keep this closer than expected, so take the Pistons to cover.
WAS Wizards +7.5GS Warriors @ WAS Wizards
Consistency has been the biggest issue for Golden State without Stephen Curry. They’ve won just 1 of their last 5 games and are coming off an 11-point road loss in Atlanta. Klay Thompson had 37 points, while Jordan Poole added 24, however defensively the Warriors just couldn’t keep up with Atlanta and allowed them to shoot almost 52% from the field. Tonight’s game is the 4th of a 5-game road trip and with an already depleted roster, I am not sure they’ll have enough to cover. In their last 12 games against Washington they are just 4-8 ATS.
The Wizards are coming off a 3-point road win at Detroit, which was their 2nd win in 4 games. This team has been hot and cold lately, beating the Lakers but then losing to Houston on the road. Kristaps Porzingis played a big role in the win over Detroit, scoring 30 points, making up for the absence of Kyle Kuzma, who won’t feature in the lineup tonight either. The Wizards have a solid track record of covering the spread against the Warriors, and they’ve done so in 2 of the 3 most recent meetings. Golden State is only 16-18-2 ATS on the road this season, and I I can’t trust them until Curry comes back. Go with the home team, but make it a small play.
BOS Celtics -6.0MIN Timberwolves @ BOS Celtics
The Minnesota Timberwolves will travel to the TD Garden today to battle the Boston Celtics. Minnesota remains one game behind the Denver Nuggets for the all-important 6th seed in the Western Conference standings. Boston is a half-game behind the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat for the top spot in the Eastern Conference with less than 10 contests remaining on each team’s regular-season schedule. On Sunday, Minnesota will be near full health, with none of their stars even listed as questionable on the injury report. Since the all-star break, the Timberwolves are 12-4 overall, and have outscored their opponents by 11 points per 100 possessions.
The only team to post a better Net Rating than the Timberwolves since the break is the Celtics. Boston is 12-2 in that span, having outscored their opponents by 12.7 points per 100 possessions. Since January 23, Boston is 10-2 at home, having outscored their opponents by 14.6 points per 100 possessions. Since the break, both Minnesota and Boston rank in the top 4 in offensive and defensive efficiency. Yet, the Achilles heel for the Timberwolves in this game could be the fact that they rank 27th in opponent free-throw attempts per game in that span. Boston is adept at getting to the free-throw line, and could benefit even more from home-court advantage this evening. Take the Celtics to cover the spread.
PHX Suns -5.0PHI 76ers @ PHX Suns
With 4 wins in 5 games and Miami losing last night, the Philadelphia 76ers are now top of the Eastern Conference and control their own fate when it comes to playoff seeding. This will be their 3rd and final game of a mini road trip, after which they will return home to face Milwaukee. Earlier this season Phoenix beat them by 5 points in their own gym, but that was before James Harden arrived in Philly. It was the 5th game in a row they had failed to cover the spread against Phoenix and the 5th straight loss in head-to-head games.
Everything is clicking for the Phoenix Suns at the moment. Chris Paul is back, they are the first team to hit 60 wins in the NBA this season, they’ve clinched home-court advantage throughout the postseason and Devin Booker is playing at an elite level, dropping 49 points on Denver. This team isn’t interested in slowing down towards the end of the regular season. They’ve won 7 in a row and are 13-3 SU in their last 16 at home. It’s hard to see anyone beating this team, and they match up well with the 76ers at every position. As much as I like the tandem of Joel Embiid and Harden, the Suns have been consistent all year and are the team to beat in the NBA right now. They’ve won 30 of 38 home games, and beating the Sixers by 6 points is very realistic. Take the home team.
NO Pelicans -3.5LA Lakers @ NO Pelicans
The New Orleans Pelicans (31-43) will host the Los Angeles Lakers (31-42) following their 107-103 home loss to the San Antonio Spurs last night. The 10-seed Pelicans, who trail the Lakers in the Western Conference standings by half a game, have lost 6 of their last 10 games. CJ McCollum has led the Pelicans in scoring in 3 of their last 5 games and is averaging 25.8 points, 5.6 assists, and 3.4 rebounds in that span. New Orleans currently ranks in the bottom half of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
The visiting Lakers are coming off a 126-121 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday night. The 9-seed Lakers, who will be playing in their first game of a 3-game Western Conference road trip, have now lost 7 of their last 10 games. LeBron James, who is listed as questionable for tonight’s contest, has led the Lakers in scoring in 7 of their last 8 games and is averaging 33.1 points, 8.9 rebounds, and 7.0 assists in that span. Los Angeles currently ranks within the bottom-10 teams of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency. In their lone meeting of the season, the Pelicans defeated the Lakers 123-95 on the road. Every Pelican starter finished that game with a positive plus/minus of at least 20+, while every Laker player finished at a negative. With the Pelicans playing in their final home game prior to a 4-game Western Conference road trip, and the 3rd-to-last home game of the season, take the Pelicans to cover tonight’s spread at home.
BKN Nets -5.5CHA Hornets @ BKN Nets
The last time Kyrie Irving of the Brooklyn Nets took on the Charlotte Hornets, he was able to drop 50 points on his opponents. The Nets won that game 132-121 on the road. Tonight, they will have a great chance of recreating that performance with Irving finally making his home debut. There is a lot on the line tonight too with the winner taking the season series. Considering the teams are separated by just 1 game, a loss for the Nets could put them in danger of having to win 2 play-in games. Both teams are on the second night of a back-to-back, a scenario in which the Hornets have really struggled. They have won just 1 of 13 such games this season, with a point differential of -5.9.
The Charlotte Hornets are 26th in opponent 3-pointers made per game over their last 10 outings. With Irving shooting 57.7% from deep in March, he could be set to do more damage tonight. Kevin Durant will be a tough matchup for the visitors too, with his length likely to cause issues for Miles Bridges. Over that same stretch the Hornets are just 22nd in defensive rating. With the Brooklyn Nets 2nd in offensive rating during that time, the Nets could push toward the 130-point mark. That should be enough for them to cover tonight.
DAL Mavericks -3.0UTA Jazz @ DAL Mavericks
The Jazz and Mavericks meet in Dallas in what could be a critical game for the seedings in the Western Conference playoffs. Both teams have identical 45-29 records and are tied for the 4th seed. Utah brings a top-10 scoring offense into the game, while Dallas has the 2nd-best scoring defense in the NBA. Utah won the teams’ first 2 meetings at home, while Dallas won the most recent game on their home court. The Mavericks have been one of the best cover teams in the league this season but have gone just 5-5 ATS over their last 10. Utah has been one of the worst cover teams and is just 5-10 ATS over its last 15 contests.
This game could come down to the 3-point line. Utah is 7th in the NBA in 3-point shooting and Dallas is 2nd in 3-point field-goal percentage defense. Dallas is 31-17 ATS against Western Conference opponents, while the Jazz are 15-21 ATS on the road. Luka Doncic continues to improve his MVP case while Spencer Dinwiddie is averaging 18 points per game and shooting 45% over the last 10 games. This is a short enough number for me to back the Mavs at home in what should feel like a playoff-type atmosphere with strong defense on display.
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Under 219.5NY Knicks @ DET Pistons
Over 222.0GS Warriors @ WAS Wizards
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