Free NBA Betting Predictions March 28
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ATL Hawks -8.0ATL Hawks @ IND Pacers
The Indiana Pacers (25-50) will host the Atlanta Hawks (37-37) following their 131-91 road loss to the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. The Pacers enter tonight’s contest on a 3-game losing streak, with those losses coming by an average margin of 23.7 points. Indiana ranks in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency and within the bottom 5 teams of the league in defensive efficiency. To add insult to injury, the Pacers will continue to play without Malcolm Brogdon, Chris Duarte, Isaiah Jackson, TJ McConnell, Myles Turner, and TJ Warren. Though the Pacers lack a consistent scoring option, Tyrese Haliburton has continued to lead their offense through his playmaking. He has led the team in assists in 8 of their last 10 games and ranks 4th in the NBA in assists in that span with 9.7 per game.
The visiting Hawks are coming off a 121-110 home win over the Golden State Warriors on Friday. They have alternated wins and losses in their last 6 games, but have managed to win 6 of their last 10. Trae Young has led the team in scoring and assists in their last 3 games and is averaging 33 points, 10.7 assists, and 2.3 rebounds in that span. Atlanta ranks 3rd in offensive efficiency, but 27th in defensive efficiency. The Hawks are 3-0 against the Pacers this season, winning by an average margin of 9 points. With the overwhelming number of injuries to the Pacers’ roster, and them losing their last 2 games by a combined margin of 70 points, take the Hawks to sweep the season series and cover tonight’s spread.
DEN Nuggets -3.5DEN Nuggets @ CHA Hornets
The 6-point win over Oklahoma City over the weekend did the Nuggets really well as it relieved some pressure in the battle for the 6th seed out West. They are now 1.5 games ahead of the Minnesota Timberwolves, who are lurking back in 7th. A win tonight could potentially get them to just half a game behind the 5th-seeded Jazz, so there’s plenty of incentive for Denver to win. One more incentive is their 115-107 home loss against the Hornets earlier in the season. Nikola Jokic had a monster stat line with 29 points and 21 rebounds in that game, but struggled shooting, going just 13 for 34 from the field.
Charlotte is coming off a big win at Brooklyn last night, spoiling the home debut of Kyrie Irving with a 119-110 road success. Lonzo Ball, Miles Bridges and PJ Washington combined for 77 points and as a team they made 53.1% of their threes. Holding Brooklyn to just 7 for 34 shooting from deep got them the win. I’m curious to see if they have it in them to hold Denver to a similar percentage tonight on the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Charlotte is on a run of 7 wins in 8 games, and they’ve also covered the spread in 5 straight home games against Denver. At first glance you’d think Charlotte would win this one easily, but I’m not so sure about that. They’ll be playing less than 24 hours after their game in Brooklyn, while Denver has had an extra day of rest. The Nuggets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 on the road, plus they have that guy Nikola Jokic on their team. Go with the road squad.
ORL Magic +9.5ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers
The Orlando Magic have been very unpredictable lately. They beat Oklahoma City, followed it up with a win over Golden State and then lost to Oklahoma City by 16 points and to Sacramento by 4. With nothing to play for the rest of the way, they are giving an opportunity to their younger players to develop. They had a solid opportunity to beat Sacramento the other night, but fell apart late after leading 105-97 with 2 minutes left in regulation. They head to Cleveland tonight in hopes of ending the 2-game slide against a team they’ve beaten in 8 of the last 10 meetings. The Magic have actually covered 21 times in 38 road games this season.
The Cavs seem to be falling apart at the worst time possible. They’ve now slipped to 7th in the East after their 3rd consecutive loss, at home to Chicago. Not having Jarrett Allen in the middle appears to be too much for them to handle. He had 19 points and 11 rebounds in the 1st game of the season against the Magic. I’m curious to see how they handle his absence. The Cavs have now failed to cover the spread in 6 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents, but they are 12-4 SU in the last 16 meetings with Orlando at the Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. Although they’ve struggled recently, I still expect the Cavaliers to show up and get a much-needed home win, but it won’t be easy against an Orlando team that just recently beat Golden State in a low-scoring game. Take the young Magic team to keep this within single digits. Back the road team with the extra points.
BOS Celtics +3.5BOS Celtics @ TOR Raptors
The Boston Celtics begin the day as the top seed in the Eastern Conference. They travel north of the border to face a Toronto Raptors team that would currently avoid having to take part in the play-in tournament as the #6 seed. Boston is coming off a blowout win over the Minnesota Timberwolves last night. The Celtics have won 6 straight and 13 of their last 15 games. Toronto comes in hot as well, having won of 8 of the last 10.
It’s always tough to lay points with a team on a back-to-back, especially when they are going from home to road as the Celtics are in this spot. Boston is 21-15-1 on the road this year, while Toronto is just 15-13 ATS as a home favorite. Fred VanVleet left Saturday’s Raptors game early and is listed as day-to-day. The Celtics may rest some players on a back-to-back, so check the lineups before making a wager. Boston’s defense is playing at an elite level and as much as I hate the Celtics’ situation, their winning streak should continue and they can stay top of the Eastern Conference.
CHI Bulls WinCHI Bulls @ NY Knicks
The Chicago Bulls will travel to Madison Square Garden tonight to battle the New York Knicks. Chicago is 2 games ahead of the 7th-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers, while New York has been virtually eliminated from the postseason, sitting 5 games behind the Atlanta Hawks in the loss column with fewer than 10 games remaining in the regular season. Chicago will once again be without Lonzo Ball, who is still recovering from a left meniscus tear. Since Alex Caruso returned to the floor on March 12, Chicago ranks 27th in the league in Net Rating, but is only 2 games below the .500 mark in that time, during which the Bulls defeated the Cavaliers twice and the Toronto Raptors, while losing to the Sacramento Kings, Utah Jazz, Phoenix Suns, Milwaukee Bucks, and New Orleans Pelicans.
The Knicks have reported no notable new injuries. In their last eight games, they are 5-3 overall and rank 9th in the NBA in Net Rating. In that stretch, the Knicks have beaten up on some weak teams such as the Portland Trail Blazers and Washington Wizards. However, they also have impressive victories over the Charlotte Hornets, Miami Heat, and the recently surging Detroit Pistons. Nevertheless, motivation matters at this time of year. Chicago has an opportunity to dramatically improve its chances of avoiding the play-in tournament with a win today. Chicago is capable of winning this matchup. Take the Bulls on the money line.
SAC Kings +13.0SAC Kings @ MIA Heat
The Miami Heat (48-27) will host the Sacramento Kings (27-48) following their 110-95 home loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Saturday. The Heat enter tonight’s game on a 4-game losing streak and have lost 6 of their last 10 games. Miami’s 12th-ranked offense has had 5 different players lead the team in scoring in their last 5 games, while Bam Adebayo has controlled the interior, leading the team in rebounds in each of their last 10 games and averaging 9.5 rpg in that span. The Heat rank 6th in defensive efficiency despite being in the bottom half of the league in steals and dead last in blocks.
The visiting Kings are coming off a 114-110 overtime road win over the Orlando Magic on Saturday. The Kings enter tonight’s game on a 2-game win streak, but have lost 7 of their last 10 games. With Terence Davis, De’Aaron Fox, Richaun Holmes, and Domantas Sabonis recently sidelined, Davion Mitchell has been able to blossom into a respectable player on both ends of the floor, leading the team in scoring in the last 3 games while averaging 25 points, 8.3 assists, and 3.7 rebounds on 48.3% shooting from the field and 40% shooting from 3-point range in that span. In the teams’ lone meeting of the season, the Kings defeated the Heat 115-113 at home. Though the Kings have an entirely new roster this time, the Heat haven’t been the same since the sideline altercation involving Jimmy Butler and head coach Eric Spoelstra. Look for the Kings to cover tonight’s double-digit spread on the road.
MEM Grizzlies -10.5GS Warriors @ MEM Grizzlies
The Golden State Warriors are a mess right now. Since Steph Curry’s injury they have lost every game except a lone win against the Heat in Miami when the home team’s Jimmy Butler, Udonis Haslem and head coach Erik Spolestra had to be separated on the sidelines. Conversely, the Grizzlies are fine without their star, Ja Morant. They have won 4 straight while scoring 128.5 points per game. If this feels like a mismatch, it is. Especially with the Warriors on a back-to-back and on the road.
Memphis is 24-13 against the spread at home this season. Golden State has struggled to cover on the road, going 16-19-2. Plus they are averaging just 102.8 points per game since Curry’s injury. Four games separate these teams in the standings and it seems like Memphis has more motivation to finish as the #2 seed than Golden State. This is a big number to lay, but the Grizzlies average 118 points per game when Morant isn’t playing and the Warriors just gave up 123 to a Wizards team that is offensively challenged. Golden State may be resting starters too. Lay the points.
SA Spurs -6.5SA Spurs @ HOU Rockets
The Spurs are in 11th place in the Western Conference, just 1 game back of New Orleans, who they just beat. With the play-in tournament still a possibility, this is a must-win game for them with so little time left in the season. San Antonio has won 3 in a row and 4 of the last 5. Who they have beaten is not much to get excited about but they have mostly taken care of business against the Rockets this season, going 2-1. Houston has been playing out the string for a while, but the Rockets have won 3 of their last 4, including back-to-back games against Portland. The Rockets give up the most points in the league but while they can score, they are super inefficient. They are just too easy to beat, hence the poor record. One guy that intrigues me on this team is guard Kevin Porter Jr. He just has to learn some pace and not try to do everything at 100 mph. I actually like his game better than their top pick, Jalen Green.
It hasn’t happened often, but being a road favorite has been a good spot to back the Spurs this season. They are 5-3 SU in that role and 4-3-1 ATS, including the last time they played at Houston, when they were -4.5 at the Toyota Center in January. I like them to have the same kind of success that led to a 30-point win that night. Amazingly, 8 players scored in double figures for San Antonio in that game and their balanced approach is bringing them success. There is no reason to think the Rockets have bridged the gap. Take San Antonio.
OKC Thunder -1.5OKC Thunder @ POR Trail Blazers
The Portland Trail Blazers have lost 3 straight games as they continue to be without some key players. Anfernee Simons, Josh Hart and Justice Winslow remain out, along with a slew of regular starters. As a result, their last 2 games have resulted in 19- and 17-point home losses at the hands of the Houston Rockets, the team at the bottom of the Western Conference. Tonight’s opponents will be the Oklahoma City Thunder, who have been on a poor run of form themselves. They have been holding back key individuals which has resulted in just 1 win from their last 10 games. However, they have been competitive and just 1 of their last 5 losses was by a margin of 5 or more points.
Matchup-wise the Thunder roster will have a slightly more experienced roster. Theo Maledon was able to put together a strong run of games to end last season and he could look to do more of the same this year. He has scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games and looks set to continue that tonight. Over the last 10 games the Trail Blazers are clearly bottom of the league in net offensive and defensive rating, which currently stands at -17.4. The Thunder, on the other hand are at -9.8, ranking better on both ends of the court. Based on their recent competitiveness they should be able to cover tonight.
Our expert handicappers analyze every game before carefully selecting our top NBA picks to create our daily NBA Parlay with full reasoning for each selection.
NBA Under Over Picks
Over 236.5ATL Hawks @ IND Pacers
Under 215.5ORL Magic @ CLE Cavaliers
Under 219.0CHI Bulls @ NY Knicks
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