Free  NHL Betting Predictions March 29

Free  NHL Betting Predictions March 29
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TB Lightning WinCAR Hurricanes @ TB Lightning
The Lightning were in an unusual slump for the first few weeks of March where they had lost six of eight games, most of which came on the road during lengthy road trips. However, they seemed to have figured things out to finish out their road trip as they battled hard to win games against the Red Wings and Islanders, and now they return home where they play twelve of their next seventeen games. The Hurricanes played a tough game in Washington last night, so they’ll face a tough task of trying to beat the Capitals and Lightning on back-to-back nights on the road.
These eastern conference rivals met last week where the Hurricanes squeaked out a 3-2 victory at home. The Hurricanes flexed their elite defense in that game, where they rank first in goals against per game, which caused major problems for the slumping Lightning offense. The Lightning actually won the expected goals battle at even strength, but their six penalties were simply too much to overcome as Carolina netted two goals on the power play and spent a significant amount of time on the man advantage. It’s a difficult task to beat any team in the NHL taking six penalties in a single game, especially against a strong team like Carolina that can gain momentum from power play opportunities even if they don’t result in goals.
Nonetheless, the Lightning should be able to learn from those mistakes and be much more disciplined in this game, and the last matchup showed that Tampa is arguably the superior team at even strength as well. The Bolts are in a prime position to overcome a fatigued Carolina team in this game and the two wins to finish off the road trip might’ve been all the Lightning needed to get back on track as they look to finish the season strong, so take the home team to extend their winning streak.

BOS Bruins WinTOR Maple Leafs @ BOS Bruins
The Bruins and Leafs meet in Boston on Tuesday night for a massive showdown. Boston has surged their way up the Atlantic division standings and are now tied with Toronto for third place, with both teams having the same number of points and an identical record. In a battle between two of the league’s best teams who have an identical record, the best option is to play the scorching hot Bruins squad who have gone 14-2-1 in their last 17 games and get to play this one in front of their home fans.
Even though both teams have an identical record, they have a completely different style of hockey. The Maple Leafs are a high-powered offensive machine, relying on their elite goal-scorers such as Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner to outscore opponents due to the fact that their defense and goaltending have been inconsistent throughout the entire season. On the other hand, the Bruins prioritize their defensive effort where they rank first in expected goals against per 60 minutes, suffocating an opponent’s offensive attack and relying on their spectacular goaltending tandem of Jeremy Swayman and Linus Ullmark to hold things down in net. There have only been two teams to crack this Boston defense over the past few weeks, so it’s hard to envision Toronto traveling into Boston and suddenly flipping the script. Simply put, it’ll be extremely difficult for the Leafs to edge out a win if they aren’t lighting up the scoreboard.The Bruins aren’t an offensive powerhouse like the Leafs, but Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron, and David Pastrnak are still an elite trio of goal scorers who lead a very capable offensive unit. Boston should be able to generate quality chances against a weak Toronto defense and shaky goaltender, whether it be rookie Erik Kallgren or Petr Mrazek in net. As good as Toronto can be, the Bruins are the hottest team in the league and have the benefit of playing this one on home ice, so take Boston to pick up the win.

FLA Panthers -1.5MON Canadiens @ FLA Panthers
The Panthers have been growling recently, but were forced to put their tails between their legs last time out. Up in Toronto, the Leafs put an end to their three-game winning streak. Meanwhile, the Canadiens lost a tough deal with the Devils in a long seven round shootout. They may have both lost in their last outings, but their places in the Atlantic division are anything but similar. Florida sits first with 94 points, literally double Montreal who sits dead last with just 47 points. The Panthers have been one of the fastest, most explosive teams on ice this season, and their goal scoring proves it.
Florida has been first in the NHL in goals per game for quite some time, scoring 4.02 goals per game. Not only are they the only team over the 4 goals per game mark, that average increases to a ridiculous 4.63/game when on home ice. On the flip side, Montreal has been first in the NHL in goals allowed per game until just this Sunday when the Red Wings allowed an absurd 11 goals to the Penguins. Still, the Habs allow an NHL second-worst 3.71 goals per game; it’s a far cry from the goaltending of Carey Price last season. Montreal misses their great goalie while the Panthers have only gotten stronger adding Claude Giroux at last week’s trade deadline. This should be too much of a mismatch for anything but the Panthers puck line.

CLB Blue Jackets WinNY Islanders @ CLB Blue Jackets
The Islanders followed up a 7-2-1 run with 2 straight losses heading into this game. Columbus has 10 points in their last 8 games to New York’s 9 points in their last 8. Even more recently, they both have 4 points in their last 5 games. Columbus isn’t exactly playing great over the past week, but neither is New York. The Blue Jackets are much better at home this season than the Islanders have been on the road. That reigns true both this season as a whole and over each team’s last 10 games. New York has dropped 4 of their last 5 road games and Columbus has won 3 of their last 4 home games. These teams have met twice this season, sharing home wins. The Blue Jackets being back at Nationwide Arena bodes well for them.
There is a very clear edge in offense to Columbus and a very clear edge to New York in goal prevention. The Islanders have slipped up a few times this year, most recently giving up 10 goals in their last 2 games. They’ll be traveling to Columbus where the Blue Jackets score the 10th most goals per game at home in the NHL. The Islanders score the 8th least goals per game on the road this year. Both generating offense and preventing it will not get any easier in this game. Blue Jackets +120 at the time of publishing.

PIT Penguins WinNY Rangers @ PIT Penguins
Just 4 days after their last matchup, the Pittsburgh Penguins and New York Rangers meet again. In their previous game, we saw the Rangers win with ease. They took a 5-1 victory on home ice, led by two of their best veteran forwards in Chris Kreider and Mika Zibanejad, who had 3 points apiece. This game means a lot in the standings. The Rangers (who have 1 game in hand) are currently 1 point behind a Penguins team that sits 2nd overall in the Metropolitan Division. This is going to be a war, with the Penguins looking for revenge, and the Rangers looking to leapfrog them in the standings.
I think Sidney Crosby and the Penguins get things done in this game and make things even after that 5-1 blowout loss. They are coming off an absurd victory, where they scored 11 total goals against the Detroit Red Wings. A night like that is a lot of fun, and after two straight losses, it is just what this team needed to clear their heads. Now on home ice against the team that embarrassed them just days ago, they will be ready and fired up. These are two evenly matched teams, but I’m taking Pittsburgh in what should be a great game.

NAS Predators WinOTT Senators @ NAS Predators
The Predators will be looking to lock down their playoff spot with a win over the Senators. Nashville has been swapping back and forth with the Blues for 3rd in the Central what seems like every other day. As tempting as a +185 underdog may seem, the Senators still don’t provide the value there, proof by their second to last place standing in the Atlantic division. They’re not just losing games; just this month alone, they’ve lost to the division worst Canadiens and the NHL worst Coyotes twice. If the Sens can’t compete with the bottom feeders, keeping up with the Preds should prove too tall a task.
Admittedly, the Preds did have a rough two game stretch out on the west coast road trip, but returned to Nashville to get back to their winning ways. Captain Roman Josi has proven to be worthy of the title, sitting 8th in the league with 81 points in 64 games. Fellow skaters Filip Forsberg and Matt Duchene have been there along the way, both also averaging over a point per game. They’ll be facing a Senators team that struggles with goaltending, especially on the road. They currently allow 3.42 goals per game when outside of Ottawa. The trio of Predators, alongside their supplemental pieces, should be able to make prey out of the Sens.

MIN Wild -1.5PHI Flyers @ MIN Wild
The Wild made one of the biggest trade deadline moves, acquiring stud goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury. The Flyers made one of the biggest trade deadline moves as well by sending their former captain, Claude Giroux, down to Florida. Those moves are perfect representations as to why Minnesota sits second in the Central division and Philly sits second to last in the Metro division. This will be the Flyers’ 5th straight road game, having lost the past 2, giving up 11 goals in the process. Meanwhile, the Wild have been at home for over 2 weeks now, and enter this matchup having won their past 6 straight.
Led by the young superstar, Kirill Kaprisov, the Wild have launched themselves to 4th in the league in goal scoring with 3.63 per game. The Flyers will be wanting to fly back to Philly realizing that average only increases to 3.97 when Minnesota gets to play at home. Even back in Philly, this same Wild team beat the Flyers, and that was when they still had Giroux. The talent mismatch only gets worse, as Kaprizov has fellow skaters Kevin Fiala, Ryan Hartman, and Mats Zuccarello also averaging over or near a point per game. Minnesota has had this loaded offense all season. Now with the addition of great goaltending in Fleury, they should send Philly flying.

COL Avalanche WinCOL Avalanche @ CAL Flames
The Colorado Avalanche wrap up a 2-game road trip on Tuesday when they play the Calgary Flames. This is a main event type game as the Avalanche lead the Central Division and the Western Conference, while the Flames are atop the Pacific Division and wanting to pad their 7-point lead on the second-place Kings. This will be the 3rd time this month these two teams have played each other and both of the previous ones came in Colorado, where the Avalanche had the upper hand — getting 3 out of a possible 4 points from the Flames. With both teams coming in to Tuesday’s game with similar records of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games, the advantage will come down to value.
Offensively the slightest of edges goes to the Flames, based on how well they push the play. For the season they rank 4th in expected goals while the Avalanche rank just outside the top 10. However, when looking at production the Avalanche rank 2nd in goals for per game — whereas the Flames rank 5th. Defensively it is more of the same, with a small edge to the Flames. Both teams have borderline top 5 defenses, with the Flames separating themselves from the Avalanche in terms of actual goal allowed. Calgary ranks 2nd in goals against per game, compared to 8th for the Avalanche. With these two teams this close, lean toward best team in the NHL getting positive odds and place your bet on the Avalanche money line.

DAL Stars WinDAL Stars @ ANA Ducks
A few months ago I viewed these two teams as close to even as each had played well enough to stay in playoff contention, but each had their flaws. As time went on the Stars became a much more consistent team thanks to goaltending and the play of Jason Robertson and now find themselves right in the playoff discussion. The Stars haven’t been the greatest away from home this season and that’s well documented with a 15-16-2 record, but they have been better of late. They have won 3 of their past 5 games on the road and have collected some impressive wins over the Capitals and Hurricanes. They should carry that momentum into a game with Anaheim, which is on the other end of the NHL spectrum from those elite teams just mentioned.
The Ducks fall from grace has been swift as they traded away many assets at the trade deadline last week and are in the middle of a 9-game losing streak. Anaheim’s last win came on March 6 in OT against the Sharksm and since then they have been outscored 39-17 in their 9-game slide. Goaltender for the Ducks tonight has not been confirmed yet but if it’s John Gibson in the cage he is riding his own 8-game losing streak. I do worry about the Stars road splits, but given the situation in Anaheim I am inclined to wager on the Stars on a conservative money line bet.


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NHL  Under-Over Picks

Under 5.5CAR Hurricanes @ TB Lightning
Under 6.0TOR Maple Leafs @ BOS Bruins
Over 6.5MON Canadiens @ FLA Panthers
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